PLTR Palantir Technologies WATCHLIST

14 inbound impacts from 2 source companies in last 180 days
6
Bullish impacts
5
Bearish impacts
3
Neutral impacts
5
Max significance
8
High-magnitude

Historical Base Rates for PLTR

From prior setups in our DB. Returns are simple price (entry next-day open → close at horizon). Alpha is excess vs benchmark.

Horizon N Hit % Avg ret Median ret α vs SPY α vs QQQ α vs SOXX
5d 19 21.1% +1.01% -1.25% -0.03% -0.85% -2.35%
20d 18 66.7% +5.95% +11.74% +6.27% +4.79% +4.24%
60d 10 50.0% +6.01% -3.14% +0.6% -0.0% -14.09%

Top Live Signals affecting PLTR

ScoreDateSourceTypeCatDirConfMagHorizMechanism
63 2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir is fundamentally changing its historically slow, top-down, and resource-intensive enterprise sales motion. By shifting to rapid 'bootcamps' that demonstrate value in days and introducing a bo…
63 2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir is expanding its scope beyond pure software vendor into the role of a traditional defense prime contractor, taking lead responsibility for delivering integrated hardware-software systems ('AI…
63 2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir has officially achieved hyper-growth in the U.S. commercial sector, doubling its revenue in one year. This shatters the legacy bear thesis that Palantir is merely a bespoke government consult…
63 2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Asymmetric Info 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
The 105% doubling of forward-looking deal value dramatically outpaces their 56% recognized revenue growth. This indicates that customers are not just experimenting with AIP, but are signing massive, l…
63 2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Asymmetric Info 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir granted over 5 million Stock Appreciation Rights (SARs) in 2025 with an extraordinarily high average strike price of $219.44. Because SARs only yield value if the stock appreciates beyond the…
40 2026-03-20 SNOW 10-K Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Buried entirely within a technical accounting change regarding R&D capitalization is a massive shift in Snowflake's business model. Historically a strict, multi-tenant SaaS platform, Snowflake is now …
24 2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Future Bet 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir is aggressively directing its R&D capital toward edge computing and hardware integration. They are betting that the future of AI and data analytics will not just live in centralized clouds, b…
24 2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Future Bet 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir is moving beyond offering customized data platforms for individual companies and is instead productizing 'industry operating systems'. By building scalable, replicable solutions tailored for …
24 2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Asymmetric Info 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the filing is a specific, strategic channel partnership embedding Palantir's Foundry and AIP directly into Fujitsu's global enterprise solutions (Fujitsu Uvance). This highlights Palantir's …
15 2025-11-04 PLTR 10-Q Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
US commercial revenue grew 121% YoY to $397M. Total revenue hit $1.18B (+63% YoY). AIP/Foundry bootcamps converting enterprise prospects at unprecedented rate. Commercial now 46% of revenue, continuin…

All Inbound Impacts (14)

Every signal pointing at PLTR from another company's filings.

DateFromFilingCatDirConfMagMechanism
2026-03-20 SNOW 10-K Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Buried entirely within a technical accounting change regarding R&D capitalization is a massive shift in Snowflake's business model. Historically a strict, multi-tenant SaaS platform, Snowflake is now …
2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir is fundamentally changing its historically slow, top-down, and resource-intensive enterprise sales motion. By shifting to rapid 'bootcamps' that demonstrate value in days and introducing a bo…
2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir is expanding its scope beyond pure software vendor into the role of a traditional defense prime contractor, taking lead responsibility for delivering integrated hardware-software systems ('AI…
2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir has officially achieved hyper-growth in the U.S. commercial sector, doubling its revenue in one year. This shatters the legacy bear thesis that Palantir is merely a bespoke government consult…
2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Asymmetric Info 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
The 105% doubling of forward-looking deal value dramatically outpaces their 56% recognized revenue growth. This indicates that customers are not just experimenting with AIP, but are signing massive, l…
2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Asymmetric Info 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir granted over 5 million Stock Appreciation Rights (SARs) in 2025 with an extraordinarily high average strike price of $219.44. Because SARs only yield value if the stock appreciates beyond the…
2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Future Bet 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir is aggressively directing its R&D capital toward edge computing and hardware integration. They are betting that the future of AI and data analytics will not just live in centralized clouds, b…
2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Future Bet 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Palantir is moving beyond offering customized data platforms for individual companies and is instead productizing 'industry operating systems'. By building scalable, replicable solutions tailored for …
2026-02-17 PLTR 10-K Asymmetric Info 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the filing is a specific, strategic channel partnership embedding Palantir's Foundry and AIP directly into Fujitsu's global enterprise solutions (Fujitsu Uvance). This highlights Palantir's …
2025-11-04 PLTR 10-Q Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
US commercial revenue grew 121% YoY to $397M. Total revenue hit $1.18B (+63% YoY). AIP/Foundry bootcamps converting enterprise prospects at unprecedented rate. Commercial now 46% of revenue, continuin…
2025-11-04 PLTR 10-Q Asymmetric Info 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Customer count grew 45% YoY from 629 to 911. Average top-20 customer revenue grew 38% ($60.1M to $83.0M). Simultaneously expanding breadth and depth — 282 net new enterprise customers in a year is rem…
2025-11-04 PLTR 10-Q Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
GAAP operating income tripled YoY. Adjusted operating margin reached 51%. Revenue grew 63% while opex grew only 25% — extraordinary operating leverage. Contribution margin expanded from 60% to 66% acr…
2025-11-04 PLTR 10-Q Asymmetric Info 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
RPO of $2.6B with 44/41 split indicates customers signing longer-duration contracts. PLTR allows termination for convenience on many contracts, so true committed backlog understates actual retention.
2025-11-04 PLTR 10-Q Wildcard 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Private equity portfolio jumped 151% to $163.2M in nine months. PLTR accumulating equity stakes in customer/partner ecosystem via noncash consideration — hidden optionality that could produce lumpy ga…

Outbound Impacts — PLTR's filings affect these tickers

DateFilingTargetCatDir for targetMechanism
2026-02-17 10-K FJTSY Asymmetric Info Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-11-04 10-Q AI Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-11-04 10-Q SNOW Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-11-04 10-Q DDOG Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source

Catalysts

DateTypeConfidenceSourceDescription
2026-05-04 earnings confirmed yfinance Next earnings (per yfinance)
2026-05-05 earnings confirmed yfinance Next earnings (per yfinance)