ASML ASML Holding WATCHLIST
2 inbound impacts
from 2 source companies
in last 180 days
0
Bullish impacts
0
Bearish impacts
2
Neutral impacts
5
Max significance
0
High-magnitude
Convergence Setup
▲ BULLISH Convergence score 4.1
2 events · 2 families · alignment 100%
Source families:
filingfund
Evidence Timeline
| Date | Family | Source | Dir | Mag | Mechanism | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | filing | MU 10-Q | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source | 0.072 | |
| 2026-02-17 | fund | Lone Pine Capital 13F | ▲ | high | 13F position — $647,283M | 0.144 |
Historical Base Rates for ASML
From prior setups in our DB. Returns are simple price (entry next-day open → close at horizon). Alpha is excess vs benchmark.
| Horizon | N | Hit % | Avg ret | Median ret | α vs SPY | α vs QQQ | α vs SOXX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 6 | 33.3% | -1.73% | -2.75% | -0.26% | -0.56% | -0.71% |
| 20d | 5 | 100.0% | +7.87% | +6.72% | +5.4% | +4.1% | +0.51% |
| 60d | 5 | 100.0% | +26.83% | +30.77% | +20.12% | +18.31% | +6.63% |
Top Live Signals affecting ASML
| Score | Date | Source | Type | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Horiz | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 2026-03-19 | MU | 10-Q | Strategic Shift | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Revenue tripled YoY to $23.9B in Q2 FY2026; gross margin exploded from 37% to 74%. Not cyclical recovery — structural repricing of memory driven by AI supply-demand imbalance.
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| 5 | 2025-11-06 | INTC | 10-Q | Language Shift | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Management is explicitly warning that the survival of their sub-2nm roadmap (14A and beyond) is entirely dependent on securing a major external customer. If they fail, they will capitulate on process …
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All Inbound Impacts (2)
Every signal pointing at ASML from another company's filings.
| Date | From | Filing | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | MU | 10-Q | Strategic Shift | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Revenue tripled YoY to $23.9B in Q2 FY2026; gross margin exploded from 37% to 74%. Not cyclical recovery — structural repricing of memory driven by AI supply-demand imbalance.
|
||
| 2025-11-06 | INTC | 10-Q | Language Shift | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Management is explicitly warning that the survival of their sub-2nm roadmap (14A and beyond) is entirely dependent on securing a major external customer. If they fail, they will capitulate on process …
|
Catalysts
| Date | Type | Confidence | Source | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |