UBER Uber Technologies WATCHLIST
20 inbound impacts
from 3 source companies
in last 180 days
10
Bullish impacts
3
Bearish impacts
7
Neutral impacts
5
Max significance
6
High-magnitude
Historical Base Rates for UBER
From prior setups in our DB. Returns are simple price (entry next-day open → close at horizon). Alpha is excess vs benchmark.
| Horizon | N | Hit % | Avg ret | Median ret | α vs SPY | α vs QQQ | α vs SOXX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 35 | 65.7% | +0.5% | +0.75% | +0.1% | -0.59% | -3.69% |
| 20d | 35 | 71.4% | +1.88% | +2.06% | +1.64% | +0.54% | -0.94% |
| 60d | 21 | 66.7% | -0.32% | +6.37% | -5.95% | -7.78% | -21.35% |
Top Live Signals affecting UBER
| Score | Date | Source | Type | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Horiz | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber is taking a massive, thesis-changing step toward an owned-and-operated autonomous robotaxi network. By committing to purchase 20,000 Level 4 autonomous vehicles directly from Lucid (equipped with…
|
|
| 61 | 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber is aggressively rolling up the Turkish food and grocery delivery market, deploying over $1.1 billion in cash across two major acquisitions within an 8-month window. This highlights a deliberate s…
|
|
| 61 | 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber is facing a massive $1.8 billion buried tax dispute with UK authorities regarding its historical use of margin-based VAT. More importantly, a new UK law taking effect in 2026 explicitly bans this…
|
|
| 61 | 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber releases $5.0B Netherlands deferred tax valuation allowance after achieving 12-quarter cumulative income. Combined with $6.4B US release in Q4 2024, $11.4B in DTAs released in 13 months.
|
|
| 61 | 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Delivery Adjusted EBITDA surges 45% to $3.6B, powered by $568M in advertising revenue growth. Delivery is rapidly becoming a high-margin profit engine.
|
|
| 29 | 2026-02-05 | GOOG | 10-K | Future Bet | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Alphabet is shifting Waymo from an R&D project into a massive commercial deployment phase. By self-funding the significant majority of a staggering $16 billion round, Alphabet is making a core, thesis…
|
||
| 27 | 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Future Bet | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Tesla has officially launched its autonomous ride-hailing network, pivoting its business model from one-off vehicle sales to high-margin, recurring software and fleet-based services.
|
||
| 23 | 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Wildcard | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber One hits 46M members with only 1-in-5 eligible consumers active across both Mobility and Delivery. Dual-use consumers generate 3x the Gross Bookings vs single-product users — enormous cross-sell …
|
|
| 23 | 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
$851M insurance cost increase driven by rate per mile — structural cost headwind pressuring Mobility margins even as Gross Bookings grow.
|
|
| 23 | 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Aurora stake swings from $629M gain in 2024 to $802M loss in 2025 — $1.4B swing obscuring operating performance.
|
All Inbound Impacts (20)
Every signal pointing at UBER from another company's filings.
| Date | From | Filing | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber is taking a massive, thesis-changing step toward an owned-and-operated autonomous robotaxi network. By committing to purchase 20,000 Level 4 autonomous vehicles directly from Lucid (equipped with…
|
| 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber is aggressively rolling up the Turkish food and grocery delivery market, deploying over $1.1 billion in cash across two major acquisitions within an 8-month window. This highlights a deliberate s…
|
| 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber is facing a massive $1.8 billion buried tax dispute with UK authorities regarding its historical use of margin-based VAT. More importantly, a new UK law taking effect in 2026 explicitly bans this…
|
| 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber releases $5.0B Netherlands deferred tax valuation allowance after achieving 12-quarter cumulative income. Combined with $6.4B US release in Q4 2024, $11.4B in DTAs released in 13 months.
|
| 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Delivery Adjusted EBITDA surges 45% to $3.6B, powered by $568M in advertising revenue growth. Delivery is rapidly becoming a high-margin profit engine.
|
| 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Wildcard | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber One hits 46M members with only 1-in-5 eligible consumers active across both Mobility and Delivery. Dual-use consumers generate 3x the Gross Bookings vs single-product users — enormous cross-sell …
|
| 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
$851M insurance cost increase driven by rate per mile — structural cost headwind pressuring Mobility margins even as Gross Bookings grow.
|
| 2026-02-13 | UBER | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Aurora stake swings from $629M gain in 2024 to $802M loss in 2025 — $1.4B swing obscuring operating performance.
|
| 2026-02-09 | UBER | 8-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber is capitalizing on the distressed quick-commerce market to aggressively roll up the Turkish delivery sector. By committing $435M upfront (including a $100M stake in grocery/retail), Uber is betti…
|
| 2026-02-09 | UBER | 8-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber is applying intense capital discipline to its M&A structures, actively fencing off cash-burning operations. Rather than fully absorbing Getir's unproven grocery and retail verticals upfront, Uber…
|
| 2026-02-05 | GOOG | 10-K | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Alphabet is shifting Waymo from an R&D project into a massive commercial deployment phase. By self-funding the significant majority of a staggering $16 billion round, Alphabet is making a core, thesis…
|
||
| 2026-02-04 | UBER | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber is replacing its externally-hired CFO (who led their first buybacks and recent acquisitions) with an internal veteran whose background is in Strategic Finance and Investor Relations. The new CFO'…
|
| 2026-02-04 | UBER | 8-K | Wildcard | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Outgoing CFO Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah is not retiring; he is leaving voluntarily for a specific, newly secured role elsewhere. Given his recent track record of securing Uber's investment-grade status …
|
| 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Tesla has officially launched its autonomous ride-hailing network, pivoting its business model from one-off vehicle sales to high-margin, recurring software and fleet-based services.
|
||
| 2026-01-12 | UBER | 8-K | Language Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber voluntarily moving from Adjusted EBITDA (which excludes SBC and D&A) to Non-GAAP Operating Income (which includes them) is a major credibility signal. Companies typically resist including stock-b…
|
| 2026-01-12 | UBER | 8-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
The seven-quarter historical restatement reveals an unbroken uptrend in Non-GAAP Operating Income from $821M to $1,675M -- a doubling in under two years. More critically, the segment data shows Delive…
|
| 2025-11-04 | UBER | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Uber issues new 2031 and 2035 Senior Notes, redeems 2027/2028 notes. Extends debt maturity profile, transitioning toward investment-grade credit.
|
| 2025-11-04 | UBER | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Total insurance liabilities reach $10.47B — long-term reserves grew $560M in 9 months. Growing and underappreciated balance sheet risk.
|
| 2025-11-04 | UBER | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Netherlands DTA release signaled but not yet executed by Q3. Multi-billion dollar income tax benefit was imminent.
|
| 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Tesla is committing capital to the unglamorous, physical reality of running a massive, autonomous ride-hailing network. By explicitly investing in "vehicle cleaning," "security," and "teleoperations,"…
|
Outbound Impacts — UBER's filings affect these tickers
| Date | Filing | Target | Cat | Dir for target | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | 10-K | LCID | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-02-13 | 10-K | DASH | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-02-13 | 10-K | AUR | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-12 | 8-K | LYFT | Language Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-12 | 8-K | DASH | Language Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-12 | 8-K | DASH | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-12 | 8-K | LYFT | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
Catalysts
| Date | Type | Confidence | Source | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |