GOOG Alphabet Inc. WATCHLIST

49 inbound impacts from 10 source companies in last 180 days
10
Bullish impacts
8
Bearish impacts
31
Neutral impacts
5
Max significance
19
High-magnitude

Convergence Setup

▲ BULLISH Convergence score 22.8

9 events · 2 families · alignment 100%
Source families: filingfund

Evidence Timeline

DateFamilySourceDirMagMechanismWeight
2026-04-10 filing GOOG 8-K medium Filing company — direct subject of disclosure 0.312
2026-03-20 filing SNOW 10-K Legacy import: direction not extracted at source 0.078
2026-03-20 filing SNOW 10-K Legacy import: direction not extracted at source 0.078
2026-02-17 fund Atreides Management 13F high 13F position — $160,988M 0.144
2026-02-17 fund Coatue Management 13F high 13F position — $39,305M 0.144
2026-02-17 fund Coatue Management 13F high 13F position — $12,541M 0.144
2026-02-17 fund Altimeter Capital 13F high 13F position — $162,538M 0.144
2026-02-17 fund Whale Rock Capital 13F high 13F position — $657,589M 0.144
2026-02-17 fund Duquesne Family Office 13F medium 13F position — $121M 0.086

Historical Base Rates for GOOG

From prior setups in our DB. Returns are simple price (entry next-day open → close at horizon). Alpha is excess vs benchmark.

Horizon N Hit % Avg ret Median ret α vs SPY α vs QQQ α vs SOXX
5d 88 36.4% -0.88% -1.37% -0.1% -0.29% -1.24%
20d 86 76.7% +3.88% +5.55% +2.95% +2.26% -0.19%
60d 60 93.3% +23.47% +19.5% +17.13% +15.37% +0.78%

Top Live Signals affecting GOOG

ScoreDateSourceTypeCatDirConfMagHorizMechanism
57 2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Asymmetric Info 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the document's raw XBRL taxonomy data is a specific accounting tag for 'WizIncMember' active during March 2025. This heavily implies that Alphabet successfully closed a major transaction—lik…
57 2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
A federal court has formally ordered Google to break open its search monopoly by sharing its highly proprietary search data and offering syndication services to rivals. This fundamentally alters Googl…
57 2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is shifting Waymo from an R&D project into a massive commercial deployment phase. By self-funding the significant majority of a staggering $16 billion round, Alphabet is making a core, thesis…
57 2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is vertically integrating into the energy sector to secure power for its AI compute. Instead of merely buying power, they are acquiring an energy infrastructure company outright and structuri…
57 2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
A jaw-dropping $113 billion in short-term (due within 12 months) purchase commitments primarily for servers, networking equipment, and energy. This is on top of the $91.4 billion already spent on CapE…
57 2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Asymmetric Info 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet has quadrupled its unsecured debt load in a single year, adding over $36 billion in new notes. For a company that generates massive amounts of free cash flow, leveraging the balance sheet to …
57 2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet added roughly $29 billion in carrying value to its investments in private, non-marketable startups in just one year. This near-doubling represents a colossal bet on the private technology eco…
57 2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is aggressively moving to vertically integrate and secure its own power supply for AI data centers. Combined with a staggering $91.4 billion in 2025 capital expenditures and $5.7 billion in g…
40 2026-03-20 SNOW 10-K Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Snowflake is fundamentally shifting its identity from a purely analytical database (OLAP) to a hybrid transactional and analytical processing (HTAP) platform. By offering a fully managed Postgres data…
40 2026-03-20 SNOW 10-K Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Snowflake is fundamentally shifting its business model from a proprietary, walled-garden storage architecture to an open-compute model. By natively supporting Apache Iceberg and allowing data to resid…

All Inbound Impacts (49)

Every signal pointing at GOOG from another company's filings.

DateFromFilingCatDirConfMagMechanism
2026-04-10 GOOG 8-K Strategic Shift 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is finalizing the elimination of its cash bonus program for Senior Vice Presidents, replacing it entirely with equity compensation (RSUs and PSUs). By directly tying executive payouts to rela…
2026-03-20 SNOW 10-K Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Snowflake is fundamentally shifting its identity from a purely analytical database (OLAP) to a hybrid transactional and analytical processing (HTAP) platform. By offering a fully managed Postgres data…
2026-03-20 SNOW 10-K Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Snowflake is fundamentally shifting its business model from a proprietary, walled-garden storage architecture to an open-compute model. By natively supporting Apache Iceberg and allowing data to resid…
2026-03-11 MRVL 10-K Future Bet 4/5 low
Same — Google Axion also relies on MRVL custom silicon stack
MRVL paid $1.3B cash + 24.5M shares for Celestial AI's Photonic Fabric — the optical scale-up interconnect tech that competes directly with NVIDIA's proprietary NVLink at the chip-to-chip layer inside…
2026-03-11 ORCL 10-Q Future Bet
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Oracle has more than tripled its capital expenditures year-over-year, spending over $39 billion in just nine months. This signals an incredibly aggressive infrastructure build-out to support Oracle Cl…
2026-03-11 ORCL 10-Q Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Buried in the non-marketable investments section is confirmation that Oracle owns 15% of TikTok's US Data Security joint venture. This structurally embeds Oracle as the infrastructure backbone for one…
2026-03-06 GOOG 8-K Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is compensating its CEO with $175 million in target equity directly tied to the standalone subsidiary valuations of Waymo and Wing, paying out in subsidiary units rather than parent company (…
2026-03-06 GOOG 8-K Future Bet 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
While Waymo's maturity is well-known to the market, elevating Wing (drone delivery) to sit alongside Waymo in a core, high-value executive compensation package reveals a major bet on the immediate via…
2026-02-25 NVDA 10-K Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
NVIDIA is opening its historically closed, proprietary NVLink interconnect to allow third-party custom silicon (like a hyperscaler's in-house AI chip) to plug directly into NVIDIA's ecosystem. This is…
2026-02-25 NVDA 10-K Future Bet
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
NVIDIA is moving beyond just being a supplier to OpenAI and is securing a direct equity and partnership stake. This tightens the bond between the world's leading AI hardware provider and the leading A…
2026-02-13 GOOG 8-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is mobilizing a colossal amount of capital—nearly $27 billion USD equivalent in a single day. For a company that typically generates tens of billions in free cash flow, raising this magnitude…
2026-02-13 GOOG 8-K Asymmetric Info 4/5 medium
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried within the tranches of Sterling debt is a £1 billion 'century bond' maturing 100 years from issuance (2126). Issuing 100-year debt is a highly unusual corporate maneuver that effectively acts a…
2026-02-11 CFLT 10-K Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
IBM acquiring Confluent at $35.00/share in cash is the single most consequential event in this filing. It represents a strategic bet by IBM that data streaming infrastructure is critical to enterprise…
2026-02-06 AMZN 10-K Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Buried in the Board of Directors list is the addition of Andrew Ng, one of the world's most prominent artificial intelligence pioneers and former head of Google Brain/Baidu AI. Adding a pure-play AI l…
2026-02-06 AMZN 10-K Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Amazon's financial exposure to Anthropic has grown to staggering proportions, with tens of billions in fair value gains recorded in 2025 alone. Crucially, Amazon explicitly links this investment to An…
2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Asymmetric Info 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the document's raw XBRL taxonomy data is a specific accounting tag for 'WizIncMember' active during March 2025. This heavily implies that Alphabet successfully closed a major transaction—lik…
2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
A federal court has formally ordered Google to break open its search monopoly by sharing its highly proprietary search data and offering syndication services to rivals. This fundamentally alters Googl…
2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is shifting Waymo from an R&D project into a massive commercial deployment phase. By self-funding the significant majority of a staggering $16 billion round, Alphabet is making a core, thesis…
2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is vertically integrating into the energy sector to secure power for its AI compute. Instead of merely buying power, they are acquiring an energy infrastructure company outright and structuri…
2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
A jaw-dropping $113 billion in short-term (due within 12 months) purchase commitments primarily for servers, networking equipment, and energy. This is on top of the $91.4 billion already spent on CapE…
2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Asymmetric Info 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet has quadrupled its unsecured debt load in a single year, adding over $36 billion in new notes. For a company that generates massive amounts of free cash flow, leveraging the balance sheet to …
2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet added roughly $29 billion in carrying value to its investments in private, non-marketable startups in just one year. This near-doubling represents a colossal bet on the private technology eco…
2026-02-05 GOOG 10-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is aggressively moving to vertically integrate and secure its own power supply for AI data centers. Combined with a staggering $91.4 billion in 2025 capital expenditures and $5.7 billion in g…
2026-01-29 META 10-K Future Bet
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta is formally committing resources to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), which they are explicitly terming 'superintelligence'. They are no longer just building AI to rank feeds or ge…
2026-01-29 META 10-K Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta lost a critical regulatory battle in the EU regarding its ad consent model. They are now being forced to modify their 'Less Personalized Ads' (LPA) offering, which fundamentally degrades ad targe…
2026-01-29 META 10-K Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta won a critical summary judgment affirming that training its generative AI models on copyrighted materials constitutes 'fair use'. This establishes a monumental legal precedent that removes a mass…
2026-01-29 META 10-K Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta defeated the FTC's landmark antitrust lawsuit aimed at unwinding its acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp. Surviving this breakup attempt secures Meta's core ecosystem and signals that the FTC'…
2026-01-28 MSFT 10-Q Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Microsoft recorded a massive $10 billion net gain in Q2 2026 driven by an 'OpenAI Recapitalization' that diluted their equity stake. This indicates a major private market revaluation and funding round…
2026-01-28 MSFT 10-Q Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Microsoft Cloud margin declining 3 percentage points to 67% while revenue grows 23% is a critical signal. The margin compression is explicitly attributed to AI infrastructure scaling -- meaning Micros…
2025-12-11 ORCL 10-Q Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Oracle's backlog (RPO) exploded by an unprecedented $426 billion year-over-year, a greater than 5x increase. This massive jump is buried at the end of the filing and indicates Oracle has signed histor…
2025-12-08 MSFT 8-K Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
The presence and subsequent rejection of this proposal highlights Microsoft's strategic choice to aggressively supply AI and machine learning tools to the oil and gas sector. By resisting additional r…
2025-11-19 NVDA 10-Q Future Bet
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
NVIDIA is aggressively deploying its hardware profits to buy equity in the world's leading foundation model companies. By committing up to $10 billion to Anthropic and opening an LOI with OpenAI, NVID…
2025-11-19 NVDA 10-Q Future Bet
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Nvidia is deploying its massive free cash flow directly into the foundational layer of the AI ecosystem by taking multi-billion dollar stakes in the two leading frontier model developers. This capital…
2025-11-06 GOOG 8-K Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is raising an enormous war chest of approximately $24.5 billion in new debt, locking in capital across a wide range of maturities, including 50-year notes maturing in 2075. For a company with…
2025-10-31 AAPL 10-K Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Apple is explicitly warning that the DOJ's antitrust remedies against Google could legally prohibit Google from paying Apple for default search placement. This puts a multi-billion dollar, near-100% m…
2025-10-31 AMZN 10-Q Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Amazon is doubling down on its generative AI model partner, Anthropic, committing another $1.4B in Q4 2025. More notably, Anthropic's valuation has surged so dramatically that Amazon recognized a $10.…
2025-10-30 GOOG 10-Q Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
The DOJ is actively pushing for 'structural remedies' (forced divestitures or breakups) of Google's publisher ad-tech stack. This poses an existential regulatory threat to the vertically integrated ad…
2025-10-30 GOOG 10-Q Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is accelerating its capital expenditures at a breathtaking pace, jumping 66% year-over-year to $63.6B for the 9-month period. Furthermore, management is explicitly telegraphing that 2026 will…
2025-10-30 GOOG 10-Q Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is making a gargantuan $32 billion all-cash bet on cloud cybersecurity. This represents a massive strategic pivot to buy market share and integrate premium security capabilities directly into…
2025-10-30 GOOG 10-Q Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Despite public reports in mid-2024 that Alphabet's $23 billion acquisition of cybersecurity firm Wiz had fallen apart, this forward-looking statement explicitly references the pending closing and inte…
2025-10-30 GOOG 10-Q Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Alphabet is making its largest acquisition in history by purchasing Wiz for $32 billion in cash. This is a massive, thesis-altering bet that enterprise cloud market share will increasingly be won or l…
2025-10-30 GOOG 10-Q Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Google has committed a staggering $42.6 billion to future data center leases that haven't even started yet. This is purely for the physical footprint and power, completely separate from the actual ser…
2025-10-30 GOOG 10-Q Strategic Shift 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
The long-standing theoretical threat of antitrust action has crossed the Rubicon into operational reality. Google is now legally mandated to syndicate its proprietary search data to rivals and alter i…
2025-10-30 GOOG 10-Q Future Bet 5/5 high
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Google's 9-month capital expenditures hit $63.6 billion, a massive 66% increase from the $38.2 billion spent in the same period the prior year. The sheer velocity of cash being converted into servers …
2025-10-30 META 10-Q Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta has historically relied almost exclusively on its own proprietary data centers for infrastructure. Committing a staggering $40 billion to third-party cloud providers is a massive structural shift…
2025-10-30 META 10-Q Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Buried in the legal proceedings is a monumental legal victory for Meta and the broader AI industry: a court has granted summary judgment validating the 'fair use' defense for training generative AI mo…
2025-10-30 META 10-Q Strategic Shift
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta is explicitly warning the market that regulatory pressure in Europe has forced a strategic shift away from its highly lucrative personalized ad model toward 'less personalized ads' (LPA). Managem…
2025-10-29 MSFT 10-Q Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Microsoft recognized a massive $4.1 billion equity loss from OpenAI in a single quarter, a nearly 6x increase year-over-year. This staggering figure lays bare the astronomical operating costs and cash…
2025-10-27 CFLT 10-Q Asymmetric Info
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
A new $125M non-cancelable cloud infrastructure commitment through 2030 is a major signal about expected cloud consumption growth. Companies do not lock into 5-year infrastructure obligations unless t…

Outbound Impacts — GOOG's filings affect these tickers

DateFilingTargetCatDir for targetMechanism
2026-03-06 8-K TSLA Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-03-06 8-K GM Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-03-06 8-K AMZN Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-03-06 8-K UPS Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-03-06 8-K FDX Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-02-05 10-K MSFT Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-02-05 10-K UBER Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-02-05 10-K LYFT Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-02-05 10-K NVDA Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-02-05 10-K AMD Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-02-05 10-K SMCI Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2026-02-05 10-K ANET Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q TTD Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q APP Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q MSFT Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q AMZN Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q PANW Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q CRWD Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q ZS Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q CRWD Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q PANW Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q ZS Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q MSFT Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q AMZN Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q DLR Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q EQIX Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q VRT Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q CEG Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q VST Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q MSFT Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q MTCH Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q SPOT Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q BMBL Strategic Shift Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q NVDA Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q AMD Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q ANET Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
2025-10-30 10-Q MU Future Bet Legacy import: direction not extracted at source

Catalysts

DateTypeConfidenceSourceDescription
2026-04-29 earnings confirmed yfinance Next earnings (per yfinance)
2026-04-30 earnings confirmed yfinance Next earnings (per yfinance)