ORCL Oracle Corp. WATCHLIST
28 inbound impacts
from 3 source companies
in last 180 days
17
Bullish impacts
1
Bearish impacts
10
Neutral impacts
5
Max significance
16
High-magnitude
Convergence Setup
▲ BULLISH Convergence score 24.4
5 events · 2 families · alignment 100%
Source families:
filingfund
Evidence Timeline
| Date | Family | Source | Dir | Mag | Mechanism | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | filing | ORCL 8-K | ▲ | high | Filing company — direct subject of disclosure | 0.72 |
| 2026-04-06 | filing | ORCL 8-K | ◆ | medium | Filing company — direct subject of disclosure | 0.276 |
| 2026-04-06 | filing | ORCL 8-K | ◆ | medium | Filing company — direct subject of disclosure | 0.276 |
| 2026-03-20 | filing | SNOW 10-K | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source | 0.078 | |
| 2026-02-17 | fund | Coatue Management 13F | ▲ | high | 13F position — $9,467M | 0.144 |
Historical Base Rates for ORCL
From prior setups in our DB. Returns are simple price (entry next-day open → close at horizon). Alpha is excess vs benchmark.
| Horizon | N | Hit % | Avg ret | Median ret | α vs SPY | α vs QQQ | α vs SOXX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 53 | 28.3% | -2.66% | -2.84% | -2.74% | -3.3% | -5.66% |
| 20d | 49 | 49.0% | -1.56% | -1.38% | -3.2% | -4.16% | -10.6% |
| 60d | 36 | 33.3% | -6.61% | -19.23% | -9.92% | -10.7% | -20.49% |
Top Live Signals affecting ORCL
| Score | Date | Source | Type | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Horiz | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 2026-04-06 | ORCL | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle is hiring its new CFO from Schneider Electric, a global industrial powerhouse specializing in energy management and physical data center infrastructure. Following last quarter's revelation of a…
|
|
| 64 | 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle has more than tripled its capital expenditures year-over-year, spending over $39 billion in just nine months. This signals an incredibly aggressive infrastructure build-out to support Oracle Cl…
|
|
| 64 | 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle has committed a staggering $261 billion to future data center leases over the next two decades. This represents a generational bet on the sustained, exponential growth of cloud and AI compute d…
|
|
| 64 | 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the non-marketable investments section is confirmation that Oracle owns 15% of TikTok's US Data Security joint venture. This structurally embeds Oracle as the infrastructure backbone for one…
|
|
| 64 | 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle has more than tripled its capital expenditures, spending a staggering $39.2 billion in just nine months solely on expanding data center capacity. This indicates a massive, company-defining bet …
|
|
| 64 | 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle quietly sold its substantial stake in Ampere Computing, an ARM-based server chip manufacturer it heavily backed. Realizing a $2.7 billion gain suggests either Ampere was acquired, went public, …
|
|
| 64 | 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle raised an unprecedented $48 billion via debt and convertible preferred stock in just nine months. They are leveraging their balance sheet to the absolute hilt to aggressively fund their $39.2B …
|
|
| 64 | 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Wildcard | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried deep in the Rule 10b5-1 trading plan disclosures, Michael Sicilia is identified as the Chief Executive Officer and Director. Historically, Safra Catz has served as Oracle's CEO. This quietly hi…
|
|
| 40 | 2026-03-20 | SNOW | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Buried entirely within a technical accounting change regarding R&D capitalization is a massive shift in Snowflake's business model. Historically a strict, multi-tenant SaaS platform, Snowflake is now …
|
||
| 26 | 2026-04-06 | ORCL | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Following last quarter's buried disclosure that Michael Sicilia had quietly assumed the CEO title historically held by Safra Catz, Oracle is now officially turning over its Principal Financial Officer…
|
All Inbound Impacts (28)
Every signal pointing at ORCL from another company's filings.
| Date | From | Filing | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | ORCL | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle is hiring its new CFO from Schneider Electric, a global industrial powerhouse specializing in energy management and physical data center infrastructure. Following last quarter's revelation of a…
|
| 2026-04-06 | ORCL | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Following last quarter's buried disclosure that Michael Sicilia had quietly assumed the CEO title historically held by Safra Catz, Oracle is now officially turning over its Principal Financial Officer…
|
| 2026-04-06 | ORCL | 8-K | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle is using an exceptionally aggressive, front-loaded vesting schedule for the new CFO's $20.8 million time-based equity grant (70% vesting within the first two years, instead of the standard 25% …
|
| 2026-03-20 | SNOW | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Buried entirely within a technical accounting change regarding R&D capitalization is a massive shift in Snowflake's business model. Historically a strict, multi-tenant SaaS platform, Snowflake is now …
|
||
| 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle has more than tripled its capital expenditures year-over-year, spending over $39 billion in just nine months. This signals an incredibly aggressive infrastructure build-out to support Oracle Cl…
|
| 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle has committed a staggering $261 billion to future data center leases over the next two decades. This represents a generational bet on the sustained, exponential growth of cloud and AI compute d…
|
| 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the non-marketable investments section is confirmation that Oracle owns 15% of TikTok's US Data Security joint venture. This structurally embeds Oracle as the infrastructure backbone for one…
|
| 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle has more than tripled its capital expenditures, spending a staggering $39.2 billion in just nine months solely on expanding data center capacity. This indicates a massive, company-defining bet …
|
| 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle quietly sold its substantial stake in Ampere Computing, an ARM-based server chip manufacturer it heavily backed. Realizing a $2.7 billion gain suggests either Ampere was acquired, went public, …
|
| 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle raised an unprecedented $48 billion via debt and convertible preferred stock in just nine months. They are leveraging their balance sheet to the absolute hilt to aggressively fund their $39.2B …
|
| 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Wildcard | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried deep in the Rule 10b5-1 trading plan disclosures, Michael Sicilia is identified as the Chief Executive Officer and Director. Historically, Safra Catz has served as Oracle's CEO. This quietly hi…
|
| 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
The data center market is so severely supply-constrained that Oracle is stepping in to guarantee $2.2 billion of its landlord's debt just to ensure the facilities are built. This reveals extreme lever…
|
| 2026-02-05 | ORCL | 8-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle has executed a $5 billion capital raise using a highly specific financial instrument: Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock. While the filing simply states the issuance, the corporate finance r…
|
| 2026-02-05 | ORCL | 8-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
By setting a rigid, three-year mandatory conversion window (January 2029), Oracle is locking in its capital structure timeline. This indicates management's belief that whatever asset or infrastructure…
|
| 2026-02-04 | ORCL | 8-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle is assembling an unprecedented $45 billion capital war chest through concurrent massive equity and debt offerings. While the stated use of proceeds is boilerplate, accumulating capital of this …
|
| 2026-02-04 | ORCL | 8-K | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle is locking in $7.75 billion of ultra-long-duration debt (30 and 40 years) at elevated yields (6.700% - 6.850%). Committing to 40-year debt strongly implies the underlying investments will be di…
|
| 2026-01-28 | MSFT | 10-Q | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Commercial RPO doubling to $625B is an extraordinary number -- it implies Microsoft has contracted future revenue equivalent to roughly 2 years of total company revenue. The 110% growth rate, far exce…
|
||
| 2026-01-09 | ORCL | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
The abrupt, mid-term, 'effective immediately' retirements of two long-tenured (18-20 years) octogenarian directors within two days of each other is highly unusual, as retiring directors typically serv…
|
| 2025-12-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
RPO surged from $455B to $523B in one quarter — $68B increase. Only 10% converts in 12 months. $523B backlog dwarfs ~$62B annual revenue run-rate. RPO growth (15% QoQ) accelerating faster than revenue…
|
| 2025-12-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Capex tripled to $20.5B in H1. PP&E grew from $43.5B to $67.9B. Additional $99.8B in off-balance-sheet DC lease commitments. Oracle building at hyperscaler scale.
|
| 2025-12-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Non-current debt crossed $100B with $17.9B in new issuances. Bonds maturing as far as 2065. Oracle running a leveraged infrastructure play funded by investment-grade debt across a 40-year maturity lad…
|
| 2025-12-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Strategic Shift | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Cloud infrastructure drove 80% of cloud revenue growth. Cloud now 50% of total revenue (vs 42% YoY). $1.6B restructuring plan reshaping workforce. Oracle's identity has fundamentally shifted to infras…
|
| 2025-12-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle has committed an astronomical $248 billion to future data center and cloud capacity leases spanning up to 19 years. This off-balance-sheet forward commitment exceeds the company's entire report…
|
| 2025-12-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle's backlog (RPO) exploded by an unprecedented $426 billion year-over-year, a greater than 5x increase. This massive jump is buried at the end of the filing and indicates Oracle has signed histor…
|
| 2025-12-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle is radically accelerating its capital expenditures, tripling its 1H capex year-over-year (and hitting $35.4 billion on a trailing 12-month basis). The company is betting its entire balance shee…
|
| 2025-12-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle completely liquidated its major strategic stake in ARM-based server chipmaker Ampere, selling it to SoftBank. This marks a sharp pivot away from backing a proprietary custom silicon challenger,…
|
| 2025-11-21 | ORCL | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
The formal election of Clayton Magouyrk (head of Oracle Cloud Infrastructure) and Michael Sicilia to the Board of Directors cements a generational and strategic changing of the guard. Aligning with la…
|
| 2025-11-21 | ORCL | 8-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Oracle appointed Stephen Rusckowski, the former CEO of Quest Diagnostics and Philips Healthcare, to its Board of Directors. This signals a deep, structural commitment to its healthcare vertical, likel…
|
Outbound Impacts — ORCL's filings affect these tickers
| Date | Filing | Target | Cat | Dir for target | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | NVDA | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | AMD | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | AVGO | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | VRT | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | AMZN | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | MSFT | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | GOOG | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | DLR | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | EQIX | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | CEG | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | NEE | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | VST | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | META | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | GOOG | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | DLR | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-03-11 | 10-Q | EQIX | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | NVDA | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | AMD | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | EQIX | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | DLR | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | AMZN | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | MSFT | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | GOOG | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | NVDA | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | AMD | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | ANET | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | VRT | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-12-11 | 10-Q | SFTBY | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
Catalysts
| Date | Type | Confidence | Source | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |
| 2026-06-11 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |