META Meta Platforms Inc. WATCHLIST
29 inbound impacts
from 7 source companies
in last 180 days
6
Bullish impacts
8
Bearish impacts
15
Neutral impacts
5
Max significance
17
High-magnitude
Convergence Setup
▲ BULLISH Convergence score 2.5
7 events · 2 families · alignment 25%
Source families:
filingfund
⚠ 75% contradicting evidence
Evidence Timeline
| Date | Family | Source | Dir | Mag | Mechanism | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | filing | META 8-K | ▼ | medium | Filing company — direct subject of disclosure | 0.348 |
| 2026-04-09 | filing | CRWV 8-K | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source | 0.19 | |
| 2026-03-31 | filing | CRWV 8-K | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source | 0.139 | |
| 2026-02-17 | fund | Coatue Management 13F | ▲ | high | 13F position — $26,531M | 0.144 |
| 2026-02-17 | fund | D1 Capital Partners 13F | ▲ | high | 13F position — $248,301M | 0.144 |
| 2026-02-17 | fund | Altimeter Capital 13F | ▲ | high | 13F position — $1,218,109M | 0.144 |
| 2026-02-17 | fund | Whale Rock Capital 13F | ▲ | high | 13F position — $310,053M | 0.144 |
Historical Base Rates for META
From prior setups in our DB. Returns are simple price (entry next-day open → close at horizon). Alpha is excess vs benchmark.
| Horizon | N | Hit % | Avg ret | Median ret | α vs SPY | α vs QQQ | α vs SOXX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 47 | 55.3% | -2.2% | +0.56% | -1.68% | -1.62% | -2.0% |
| 20d | 45 | 24.4% | -1.8% | -3.33% | -2.12% | -1.98% | -3.79% |
| 60d | 31 | 58.1% | +6.99% | +9.37% | +0.74% | -1.05% | -17.16% |
Top Live Signals affecting META
| Score | Date | Source | Type | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Horiz | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is drastically shifting the financial weight of its Reality Labs division away from enclosed Virtual Reality (VR) headsets and the 'Metaverse' (Horizon), and toward augmented reality wearables (s…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is formally committing resources to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), which they are explicitly terming 'superintelligence'. They are no longer just building AI to rank feeds or ge…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is officially stating 'superintelligence' (Artificial General Intelligence) as a core investment objective. This is a massive leap from standard machine learning and requires unprecedented capita…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is willing to sustain staggering ~$19 billion annual operating losses to build the metaverse. Committing to a similar cash burn through 2026 proves they are stubbornly funding this multi-year bet…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta lost a critical regulatory battle in the EU regarding its ad consent model. They are now being forced to modify their 'Less Personalized Ads' (LPA) offering, which fundamentally degrades ad targe…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta won a critical summary judgment affirming that training its generative AI models on copyrighted materials constitutes 'fair use'. This establishes a monumental legal precedent that removes a mass…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta defeated the FTC's landmark antitrust lawsuit aimed at unwinding its acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp. Surviving this breakup attempt secures Meta's core ecosystem and signals that the FTC'…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is forecasting an unprecedented $115B to $135B in capital expenditures for 2026 (up from $72B in 2025), expressly pointing to 'superintelligence' and generative AI. This is a staggering, historic…
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| 37 | 2026-04-09 | CRWV | 8-K | Future Bet | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta commitment expanded from $14.2B to $21B -- 48% increase. Largest single cloud computing contract ever publicly disclosed. Total disclosed customer commitments now approximately $33.8B.
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| 34 | 2026-04-14 | META | 8-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Hock Tan (Broadcom CEO) leaving Meta's board is notable given Broadcom's role in Meta's custom silicon supply chain (MTIA accelerators). Board exits by major supplier CEOs can signal cooling strategic…
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All Inbound Impacts (29)
Every signal pointing at META from another company's filings.
| Date | From | Filing | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | META | 8-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Hock Tan (Broadcom CEO) leaving Meta's board is notable given Broadcom's role in Meta's custom silicon supply chain (MTIA accelerators). Board exits by major supplier CEOs can signal cooling strategic…
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| 2026-04-09 | CRWV | 8-K | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta commitment expanded from $14.2B to $21B -- 48% increase. Largest single cloud computing contract ever publicly disclosed. Total disclosed customer commitments now approximately $33.8B.
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| 2026-03-31 | CRWV | 8-K | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
DDTL 4.0 is a staggering $8.5B -- more than 3x DDTL 3.0. SOFR+2.25% rate is dramatically cheaper than prior DDTLs (SOFR+4.00%). Total disclosed debt facilities now exceed $20B.
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| 2026-03-11 | ORCL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Buried in the non-marketable investments section is confirmation that Oracle owns 15% of TikTok's US Data Security joint venture. This structurally embeds Oracle as the infrastructure backbone for one…
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| 2026-02-25 | NVDA | 10-K | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
NVIDIA is moving beyond just being a supplier to OpenAI and is securing a direct equity and partnership stake. This tightens the bond between the world's leading AI hardware provider and the leading A…
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| 2026-02-24 | AMD | 8-K | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Compute procurement has reached such extreme scale that it is no longer being measured in chip volume or server racks, but in 'gigawatt equivalents.' Meta is committing to an unprecedented multi-gigaw…
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| 2026-02-24 | AMD | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
AMD is deploying its balance sheet to break into the hyperscaler monopoly, effectively giving away roughly 10% of its total outstanding equity (160M shares) to secure Meta as an anchor customer. This …
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| 2026-02-17 | ANET | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 4/5 | low |
META's MTIA + Llama infra spend is upstream driver
Two customers (almost certainly Microsoft and Meta) each represent >10% of FY25 revenue. The split between these two — inferable from the reseller-A vs reseller-B disclosure pattern — tells you who's …
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| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is drastically shifting the financial weight of its Reality Labs division away from enclosed Virtual Reality (VR) headsets and the 'Metaverse' (Horizon), and toward augmented reality wearables (s…
|
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is formally committing resources to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), which they are explicitly terming 'superintelligence'. They are no longer just building AI to rank feeds or ge…
|
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is officially stating 'superintelligence' (Artificial General Intelligence) as a core investment objective. This is a massive leap from standard machine learning and requires unprecedented capita…
|
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is willing to sustain staggering ~$19 billion annual operating losses to build the metaverse. Committing to a similar cash burn through 2026 proves they are stubbornly funding this multi-year bet…
|
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta lost a critical regulatory battle in the EU regarding its ad consent model. They are now being forced to modify their 'Less Personalized Ads' (LPA) offering, which fundamentally degrades ad targe…
|
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta won a critical summary judgment affirming that training its generative AI models on copyrighted materials constitutes 'fair use'. This establishes a monumental legal precedent that removes a mass…
|
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta defeated the FTC's landmark antitrust lawsuit aimed at unwinding its acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp. Surviving this breakup attempt secures Meta's core ecosystem and signals that the FTC'…
|
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is forecasting an unprecedented $115B to $135B in capital expenditures for 2026 (up from $72B in 2025), expressly pointing to 'superintelligence' and generative AI. This is a staggering, historic…
|
| 2026-01-28 | MSFT | 10-Q | Strategic Shift | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Microsoft recorded a massive $10 billion net gain in Q2 2026 driven by an 'OpenAI Recapitalization' that diluted their equity stake. This indicates a major private market revaluation and funding round…
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| 2026-01-16 | META | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta has created a highly influential new executive position, hiring a veteran with unique dual expertise in conservative U.S. geopolitics and global sovereign wealth. Bestowing the titles of 'Preside…
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| 2025-12-19 | META | 8-K | Wildcard | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Board member Dina Powell McCormick resigned effective immediately. While filed under the standard Item 5.02(b) (which technically implies no formal legal disagreement triggering a 5.02(a) disclosure),…
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| 2025-11-03 | META | 8-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta has issued a staggering $30 billion in new debt across six tranches, with maturities extending out 40 years to 2065. While the 8-K is a standard financing document, the sheer magnitude of this $3…
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| 2025-10-30 | META | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta quietly deployed a staggering ~$13.8 billion to acquire a minority stake in Scale AI. This astronomical sum for a non-controlling stake in a private company signals that Meta views high-quality d…
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| 2025-10-30 | META | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta, which historically prides itself on designing and building its own highly efficient data centers, has committed $40 billion to third-party cloud capacity. This implies that their internal infras…
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| 2025-10-30 | META | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta has historically relied almost exclusively on its own proprietary data centers for infrastructure. Committing a staggering $40 billion to third-party cloud providers is a massive structural shift…
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| 2025-10-30 | META | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is doubling down on its infrastructure buildout at an unprecedented scale. A $70B+ CapEx budget (which is further expected to grow in 2026) signals that the AI infrastructure arms race is still i…
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| 2025-10-30 | META | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the legal proceedings is a monumental legal victory for Meta and the broader AI industry: a court has granted summary judgment validating the 'fair use' defense for training generative AI mo…
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| 2025-10-30 | META | 10-Q | Strategic Shift | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is explicitly warning the market that regulatory pressure in Europe has forced a strategic shift away from its highly lucrative personalized ad model toward 'less personalized ads' (LPA). Managem…
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| 2025-10-30 | META | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta is formally committing capital and infrastructure to the development of 'superintelligence' (AGI), elevating it from a philosophical goal to a material investment mandate disclosed in its SEC fil…
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| 2025-10-30 | META | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Meta has created a specific accounting tag for server and network assets that are stored by its suppliers. This strongly implies Meta is pre-purchasing massive quantities of critical AI compute hardwa…
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| 2025-10-29 | MSFT | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Microsoft recognized a massive $4.1 billion equity loss from OpenAI in a single quarter, a nearly 6x increase year-over-year. This staggering figure lays bare the astronomical operating costs and cash…
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Outbound Impacts — META's filings affect these tickers
| Date | Filing | Target | Cat | Dir for target | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | 8-K | AVGO | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | ESLOY | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | AAPL | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | NVDA | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | AMD | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | TSM | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | GOOG | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | MSFT | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | NVDA | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | AMD | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | ANET | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | AAPL | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | GOOG | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | SNAP | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | PINS | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | MSFT | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | GOOG | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | NYT | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | AMZN | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | GOOG | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | AAPL | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | MSFT | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | AMZN | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | GOOG | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | NVDA | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | AMD | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | ANET | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | GOOG | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | MSFT | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | NYT | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | GOOG | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | SNAP | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-30 | 10-Q | PINS | Strategic Shift | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
Catalysts
| Date | Type | Confidence | Source | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |
| 2026-04-30 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |