AAPL Apple Inc. WATCHLIST
17 inbound impacts
from 3 source companies
in last 180 days
3
Bullish impacts
6
Bearish impacts
8
Neutral impacts
5
Max significance
5
High-magnitude
Historical Base Rates for AAPL
From prior setups in our DB. Returns are simple price (entry next-day open → close at horizon). Alpha is excess vs benchmark.
| Horizon | N | Hit % | Avg ret | Median ret | α vs SPY | α vs QQQ | α vs SOXX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 31 | 54.8% | +3.51% | +3.47% | +3.46% | +3.51% | +2.58% |
| 20d | 31 | 80.6% | +4.76% | +5.73% | +4.22% | +4.28% | +3.08% |
| 60d | 24 | 62.5% | +10.0% | +1.89% | +4.23% | +2.99% | -9.49% |
Top Live Signals affecting AAPL
| Score | Date | Source | Type | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Horiz | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 2026-04-14 | AMZN | 8-K | Future Bet | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Amazon is acquiring Globalstar, a satellite communications company operating a LEO constellation. This signals Amazon doubling down on space-based connectivity beyond Project Kuiper — acquiring existi…
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| 41 | 2026-01-30 | AAPL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple's R&D spending surged by an anomalous 32% year-over-year ($10.89B vs $8.27B). For a company of this scale, a jump of this magnitude explicitly attributed to 'infrastructure-related costs' signal…
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| 41 | 2026-01-30 | AAPL | 10-Q | Wildcard | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Net sales in Greater China exploded by 38% year-over-year ($25.5B up from $18.5B). This completely shatters the widely accepted market narrative that Apple is suffering a structural decline in China d…
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| 27 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta is drastically shifting the financial weight of its Reality Labs division away from enclosed Virtual Reality (VR) headsets and the 'Metaverse' (Horizon), and toward augmented reality wearables (s…
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| 27 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta is willing to sustain staggering ~$19 billion annual operating losses to build the metaverse. Committing to a similar cash burn through 2026 proves they are stubbornly funding this multi-year bet…
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| 27 | 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | — |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta defeated the FTC's landmark antitrust lawsuit aimed at unwinding its acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp. Surviving this breakup attempt secures Meta's core ecosystem and signals that the FTC'…
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| 27 | 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple is fundamentally restructuring its most important product lineup by killing the 'Plus' model and the 'SE' brand. In their place, Apple is introducing an 'iPhone Air' (signaling a premium, ultra-…
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| 27 | 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple is explicitly warning that the DOJ's antitrust remedies against Google could legally prohibit Google from paying Apple for default search placement. This puts a multi-billion dollar, near-100% m…
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| 27 | 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple has been referred for potential criminal contempt proceedings regarding its failure to comply with anti-steering injunctions in the Epic Games lawsuit. It is exceedingly rare for a mega-cap tech…
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| 16 | 2026-01-30 | AAPL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
While the market has focused heavily on regulatory threats forcing Apple to allow third-party payment links (link-outs) to bypass App Store fees, the December 2025 appellate ruling actually cemented A…
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All Inbound Impacts (17)
Every signal pointing at AAPL from another company's filings.
| Date | From | Filing | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | AMZN | 8-K | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Amazon is acquiring Globalstar, a satellite communications company operating a LEO constellation. This signals Amazon doubling down on space-based connectivity beyond Project Kuiper — acquiring existi…
|
||
| 2026-01-30 | AAPL | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple's R&D spending surged by an anomalous 32% year-over-year ($10.89B vs $8.27B). For a company of this scale, a jump of this magnitude explicitly attributed to 'infrastructure-related costs' signal…
|
| 2026-01-30 | AAPL | 10-Q | Wildcard | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Net sales in Greater China exploded by 38% year-over-year ($25.5B up from $18.5B). This completely shatters the widely accepted market narrative that Apple is suffering a structural decline in China d…
|
| 2026-01-30 | AAPL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
While the market has focused heavily on regulatory threats forcing Apple to allow third-party payment links (link-outs) to bypass App Store fees, the December 2025 appellate ruling actually cemented A…
|
| 2026-01-30 | AAPL | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Amidst major macro fears regarding sweeping technology and semiconductor tariffs, Apple confirmed that the January 2026 Section 232 initial findings spared its products. This removes a significant, im…
|
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta is drastically shifting the financial weight of its Reality Labs division away from enclosed Virtual Reality (VR) headsets and the 'Metaverse' (Horizon), and toward augmented reality wearables (s…
|
||
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Future Bet | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta is willing to sustain staggering ~$19 billion annual operating losses to build the metaverse. Committing to a similar cash burn through 2026 proves they are stubbornly funding this multi-year bet…
|
||
| 2026-01-29 | META | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Meta defeated the FTC's landmark antitrust lawsuit aimed at unwinding its acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp. Surviving this breakup attempt secures Meta's core ecosystem and signals that the FTC'…
|
||
| 2025-12-05 | AAPL | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
By transitioning its outgoing General Counsel to exclusively oversee government affairs for a full year prior to her retirement, Apple is signaling that regulatory and government relations have escala…
|
| 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple is fundamentally restructuring its most important product lineup by killing the 'Plus' model and the 'SE' brand. In their place, Apple is introducing an 'iPhone Air' (signaling a premium, ultra-…
|
| 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple is explicitly warning that the DOJ's antitrust remedies against Google could legally prohibit Google from paying Apple for default search placement. This puts a multi-billion dollar, near-100% m…
|
| 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple has been referred for potential criminal contempt proceedings regarding its failure to comply with anti-steering injunctions in the Epic Games lawsuit. It is exceedingly rare for a mega-cap tech…
|
| 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple has introduced a new "Air" form factor to its iPhone lineup, replacing the traditional "Plus" model. This represents a major product bet on an ultra-thin design to stimulate a new consumer hardw…
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| 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple is flagging a specific US Commerce investigation into imported semiconductors and "downstream products that contain semiconductors". Since nearly all Apple hardware falls into this category and …
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| 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple is quietly acknowledging that its AI model training involves acquiring copyrighted materials, and notably identifies the specific risk that its models might reproduce these materials in their ou…
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| 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Apple launched an "iPhone 16e" mid-cycle in Q2. This signals a strategic shift to compete more aggressively at lower price points, effectively rebranding its SE line to integrate it more closely with …
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| 2025-10-31 | AAPL | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the geographic segment data, Apple reveals a nearly 25% year-over-year reduction in its long-lived assets (property, plant, and equipment) in Greater China, shrinking from $4.79B to $3.61B. …
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Outbound Impacts — AAPL's filings affect these tickers
| Date | Filing | Target | Cat | Dir for target | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | 10-K | GOOG | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
Catalysts
| Date | Type | Confidence | Source | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |
| 2026-05-01 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |