TSLA Tesla Inc. WATCHLIST
20 inbound impacts
from 2 source companies
in last 180 days
8
Bullish impacts
7
Bearish impacts
5
Neutral impacts
5
Max significance
13
High-magnitude
Historical Base Rates for TSLA
From prior setups in our DB. Returns are simple price (entry next-day open → close at horizon). Alpha is excess vs benchmark.
| Horizon | N | Hit % | Avg ret | Median ret | α vs SPY | α vs QQQ | α vs SOXX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 40 | 52.5% | +2.25% | +1.8% | +2.42% | +1.87% | +1.94% |
| 20d | 40 | 55.0% | +6.0% | +1.27% | +5.12% | +4.77% | +3.72% |
| 60d | 31 | 87.1% | +24.29% | +32.58% | +17.15% | +14.84% | -0.11% |
Top Live Signals affecting TSLA
| Score | Date | Source | Type | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Horiz | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla's custom XBRL tags reveal a formal 'Subsequent Event' disclosure involving X.AI Holdings Corp (Elon Musk's AI company) that occurred between January 1 and January 28, 2026, just before this 10-K…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has created a custom accounting tag specifically for 'botDelivered', sitting right next to its standard 'deliveredVehicle' tag. Companies only create custom XBRL line items when they have materi…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla is quietly partnering with Samsung to onshore the manufacturing of its custom AI chips. This signals a massive capital commitment to internalizing AI compute and a strategic move to de-risk its …
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has officially launched its autonomous ride-hailing network, pivoting its business model from one-off vehicle sales to high-margin, recurring software and fleet-based services.
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
A new U.S. law has eliminated consumer tax credits for EVs and residential solar. This drastically changes the unit economics of the EV industry, removing the pricing umbrella that allowed legacy auto…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Language Shift | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has completely rewritten its core mission statement from 'accelerating the world's transition to sustainable energy' to 'building a world of amazing abundance.' This formally marks their corpora…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has officially launched its commercial Robotaxi service and is actively pivoting its manufacturing base to produce a purpose-built vehicle (the Cybercab) for this network. This fundamentally tra…
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| 54 | 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the risk factors is the revelation of a new '2025 CEO Performance Award' that specifically ties Elon Musk's compensation to hardcoded 'product goals' (likely the Cybercab and Optimus). This …
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| 13 | 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla is restructuring its internal AI silicon and computing architecture. By writing off $238 million in supercomputer assets and terminating contracts to 'converge' its AI chip design, Tesla is sign…
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| 13 | 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the automotive regulatory credits note is an admission that government actions have actively repealed or restricted regulatory EV credits, wiping out $1.41 billion in future high-margin reve…
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All Inbound Impacts (20)
Every signal pointing at TSLA from another company's filings.
| Date | From | Filing | Cat | Dir | Conf | Mag | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | GOOG | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ |
Legacy import: direction not extracted at source
Alphabet is compensating its CEO with $175 million in target equity directly tied to the standalone subsidiary valuations of Waymo and Wing, paying out in subsidiary units rather than parent company (…
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| 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla's custom XBRL tags reveal a formal 'Subsequent Event' disclosure involving X.AI Holdings Corp (Elon Musk's AI company) that occurred between January 1 and January 28, 2026, just before this 10-K…
|
| 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has created a custom accounting tag specifically for 'botDelivered', sitting right next to its standard 'deliveredVehicle' tag. Companies only create custom XBRL line items when they have materi…
|
| 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla is quietly partnering with Samsung to onshore the manufacturing of its custom AI chips. This signals a massive capital commitment to internalizing AI compute and a strategic move to de-risk its …
|
| 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has officially launched its autonomous ride-hailing network, pivoting its business model from one-off vehicle sales to high-margin, recurring software and fleet-based services.
|
| 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
A new U.S. law has eliminated consumer tax credits for EVs and residential solar. This drastically changes the unit economics of the EV industry, removing the pricing umbrella that allowed legacy auto…
|
| 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Language Shift | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has completely rewritten its core mission statement from 'accelerating the world's transition to sustainable energy' to 'building a world of amazing abundance.' This formally marks their corpora…
|
| 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Strategic Shift | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has officially launched its commercial Robotaxi service and is actively pivoting its manufacturing base to produce a purpose-built vehicle (the Cybercab) for this network. This fundamentally tra…
|
| 2026-01-29 | TSLA | 10-K | Asymmetric Info | ▲ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the risk factors is the revelation of a new '2025 CEO Performance Award' that specifically ties Elon Musk's compensation to hardcoded 'product goals' (likely the Cybercab and Optimus). This …
|
| 2025-11-07 | TSLA | 8-K | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Despite technically failing due to abstentions counting as 'against' votes, a plurality of voting shareholders supported Tesla investing its capital into Elon Musk's private AI startup, x.AI. Cruciall…
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| 2025-11-07 | TSLA | 8-K | Future Bet | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Shareholders officially ratified a new performance-based compensation plan for Elon Musk (originally granted in September 2025). This resolves major overhang regarding his long-term alignment with Tes…
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| 2025-11-07 | TSLA | 8-K | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Shareholders approved a mandate to declassify Tesla's Board of Directors. Moving from staggered multi-year terms (as seen in Proposal 1 where Class III directors were just elected for three years) to …
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| 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Strategic Shift | ◆ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla is restructuring its internal AI silicon and computing architecture. By writing off $238 million in supercomputer assets and terminating contracts to 'converge' its AI chip design, Tesla is sign…
|
| 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the automotive regulatory credits note is an admission that government actions have actively repealed or restricted regulatory EV credits, wiping out $1.41 billion in future high-margin reve…
|
| 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla is committing capital to the unglamorous, physical reality of running a massive, autonomous ride-hailing network. By explicitly investing in "vehicle cleaning," "security," and "teleoperations,"…
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| 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 5/5 | high |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Buried in the restructuring notes is a $238M write-down directly tied to the "convergence of AI chip design efforts." Writing off supercomputer assets and terminating contracts implies a major consoli…
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| 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has added roughly $1.5 billion in 'AI infrastructure' to its property, plant, and equipment in just nine months (growing from $5.15B to $6.62B). This massive, continued capital deployment confir…
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| 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Asymmetric Info | ▼ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
A jury has handed down a landmark $329 million verdict holding Tesla partially liable for a fatal Autopilot crash. While management notes they are fighting the verdict and have only recorded an 'immat…
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| 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla is massively expanding its localized debt capacity in China, increasing its facility by 20 billion RMB (roughly $2.7 billion USD). This signals a planned acceleration of capital deployment, infr…
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| 2025-10-23 | TSLA | 10-Q | Future Bet | ▲ | 4/5 | medium |
Filing company — direct subject of disclosure
Tesla has launched new industrial storage products (Megapack 3 and Megablock) specifically positioned to capitalize on the massive power demands of AI data centers. They are betting that their energy …
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Outbound Impacts — TSLA's filings affect these tickers
| Date | Filing | Target | Cat | Dir for target | Mechanism |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | TSM | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | NVDA | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | UBER | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | LYFT | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | RIVN | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | LCID | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | F | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2026-01-29 | 10-K | GM | Asymmetric Info | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-23 | 10-Q | UBER | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
| 2025-10-23 | 10-Q | LYFT | Future Bet | ◆ | Legacy import: direction not extracted at source |
Catalysts
| Date | Type | Confidence | Source | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |
| 2026-04-23 | earnings | confirmed | yfinance | Next earnings (per yfinance) |